April is on the doorstep. Conference play has arrived. Stakes are rising. And by now, just about everyone has played enough games for us to see some trends. Everyone has a tendency. I boiled it down to just one sentence (sometimes two) for you. Happy handicapping.
As a reminder, you access all the data used to find these trends by clicking here.
Air Force – As a favorite, they win and don’t cover. Falcons are 4-1 when favored but covered just one time.
Albany – They do what the line says. As an underdog they are 0-5. As a favorite, 2-0.
Army – The Black Knights have covered in six of their last seven, and won all seven. They’ve only been an underdog once all year, and won outright against Rutgers
Bellarmine – When they’re favored, they’re invincible. 5-0 with five covers as a favorite.
Binghamton – Take them when they’re the dog. Three games as a dog, three covers, two outright wins.
Boston U – Both times they’ve been an underdog they’ve won outright. They have yet to lose at home.
Brown – Three games before suspension, they were 3-0 outright and against the spread. They won their first game with their seniors back as an underdog.
Bryant – They’ve been favored in seven of their eight games. They’re 6-1 in those games but covered just three times.
Bucknell – The Bison have covered as a dog and gone over in each of their last three games.
Canisius – One of the few teams that has yet to be a favorite this year. 5-4 against the spread despite a 2-7 record.
Cleveland State – Has alternated between going over and under every game this year. They went under last game.
Colgate – They’ve been favored in three games and didn’t win any of those games. They’ve also gone under in four of six games.
Cornell – Underdog just once, and blew out Yale in that game. 5-2 against the spread, one of the hottest teams in the country.
Dartmouth – Green darlings right now, and great underdogs. They have a 3-1 straight up record as an underdog.
Delaware – The Hens have yet to hit an over on the road this year.
Denver – They’ve been an underdog four times and covered all four times, with two outright wins.
Detroit Mercy – Winless, and the only team to have TWO pushes this year.
Drexel – Failed to cover in their first five, but have now covered in each of their last three games, including two outright wins as a dog.
Duke – They went over in six of their first seven but have now hit the under in each of their last three. They’ve been an underdog just once all year.
Fairfield – Low totals for the Stags. They’ve gone under in seven of nine games this year.
Georgetown – Lost their first three and have won four straight, but still own just a 2-5 record ATS.
Hampton – Winless, but also 3-3 ATS. Under in three of their last four.
Harvard – Haven’t covered since March 4th against UVM. Caveat, Harvard vs Brown wasn’t offered on DraftKings.
High Point – Goals. Lots of goals. Over in seven of their nine games where a total was offered. They are undefeated as a favorite and covered in three of five of those games.
Hobart – Under in five of their last six.
Hofstra – They haven’t won, covered, or hit the over in any of their last four games.
Holy Cross – Winless at 0-9, but 5-4 against the spread. All five covers came as an underdog.
Jacksonville – Wins but doesn’t cover. They’ve won seven in a row, but covered just three times in eight games this year.
Johns Hopkins – In their last six games they have lost once and failed to cover once. When they are favored, they are 4-0 and covered twice.
Lafayette – Covered five times in eight games as an underdog, including each of their last two.
Lehigh – Over in six of their eight games.
Lindenwood – 1-4 overall, but 4-1 against the spread and have covered in four straight, going over in their last three.
LIU – Over in their last three games and going under in their previous four. As an underdog, LIU is winless straight up.
Loyola – Just 2-6 against the spread and hasn’t covered since February 18th win over Hopkins.
Manhattan – A perfect 5-0 as a favorite with three covers, and hit the under in six of eight games.
Marist – Over in six of eight games, but just 2-6 against the spread.
Marquette – They haven’t hit the over since February 15th against Notre Dame. It’s the under in each of their last five games, and four of those games are wins.
Maryland – Just 3-5 against the spread. They were an underdog once all year, and won outright against UVA.
Mercy – 3-0-1 against the spread in their last four, and hit the over in each of their last three.
Merrimack – A regression occurring? In their first six games, they were 5-1 ATS and 4-2 overall, going over four times. They have lost, failed to cover, and gone under in their last two games.
Michigan – Over in six of eight games, including in each of their last four.
Monmouth – 6-2 against the spread, with one of those losses being by the hook. A perfect 3-0 with three covers as favorites.
Mount Saint Mary’s – Low totals for the Mount. They've had a total of 20.5 or less six times, and hit the under in four of them.
Navy – Just 3-7 against the spread, including being winless straight up as an underdog. They lost six straight between their Hofstra win and their Holy Cross win last week.
NJIT – 5-3 against the spread but 2-6 overall. They’ve also hit the over in six of eight games.
North Carolina – Have alternated between over and under in each of their last seven games, going over against Providence most recently.
Notre Dame – Covered in all three road games they’ve played.
Ohio State – Just 3-5-1 against the spread. Played three road games, lost all three.
Penn – Just 2-5 against the spread. They have yet to cover as a favorite, and are 1-3 straight up in games where they are favored.
Penn State – The Nitts have gone under in five straight. They’ve been an underdog four times, covered all four, and won outright three.
Princeton – Plays eight games at home. Which is good, because they’ve lost their only two road games so far.
Providence – The biggest spread they've covered is 4.5 against Siena. In four games with a spread that large or bigger, they've failed to cover as either a favorite or underdog.
Queens – Hit the over in each of their last three, but have lost and failed to cover in each of their last four.
Quinnipiac – Hit the over in five of seven games.
Richmond – Gone over in six of eight games. When they are favored, they’re 5-0 straight up, but only have covered twice.
Robert Morris – Under in every game but one. When favored Bobby Mo is 3-0 straight up, covering twice.
Rutgers – 7-2 overall, but just 4-5 against the spread. They’ve been favored in eight games this year and covered in just three.
Sacred Heart – They’ve covered in three of their last four, and gone under in seven of eight games this year. (I’m missing data from VMI/SHU)
Saint Joseph’s – After going over in five of their first six, Hawks have gone under in their last two. They’ve also lost four of their last five.
Siena – Over hit in five of seven games. They have three wins, all three came at home.
St Bonaventure – Hit the under in four of their last five. Haven’t hit double digit goals since Feb 25th.
St John’s – Winless, but 6-3 against the spread, and an underdog in all nine games.
Stony Brook – Hit the over in six of nine games. As a favorite they are 4-1 straight up with three covers.
Syracuse – They’ve been an underdog twice, losing but covering both times. They’ve also covered and won three straight.
Towson – Under in five of eight games. They’ve been an underdog four times and lost each time, covering twice.
UMass – Under in seven of eight games, and have given up double digit goals just three times.
UMass Lowell – Winless and an underdog in all seven games. Hit the under five times. Both covers game on double digit spreads.
UMBC – Started hot, winning and covering in four straight. Since then, they’ve covered just once in four games. As a favorite they are 4-0 with three covers.
Utah – Covered in six straight games, and are 6-1 ATS this year, one of the best marks in DI. 0-4 straight up as a dog with three covers, 3-0 as a favorite with three covers.
Vermont – Covered just once in their last six games. Hit the under in three of their last four.
Villanova – Hit the under in seven of nine games this year. One of the two overs they hit was by the hook.
UVA – 7-1, but just 3-5 against the spread. They have gone over in five of eight games.
VMI – Over in all of their last six games (missing data for their last game, the six prior).
Wagner – Under in five of seven games with available totals. Just 2-6 against the spread this season.
Yale – 3-3 overall, and 2-4 ATS. They’ve only been an underdog once, and lost. Over hit in four of their six games.